Objective Data

Looking at the most up-to-date data for October 2025, no typical indicators of a bubble emerge. Transactions declined slightly from the previous year (-3 percent in volume), while the average price per square foot grew 6.7 percent-a healthy pace consistent with a market that continues to attract investors from around the world but remains governed by real supply and demand dynamics. The total value of sales also remains high (AED 59.4 billion), a sign that institutional and private investors are still entering the market with conviction. These numbers suggest consolidation, not artificial overheating.

Distribution of demand and market behavior

One of the most important elements in assessing sustainability is the geographic diversification of demand. In 2025, the market is not driven by a single "fashion" area, but distributed over areas with different characteristics and targets: from Business Bay to JVC, from JVT to Dubai Investment Park, to emerging areas such as Wadi Al Safa 5. Interest is not focused on a single price category: 36 percent of transactions involve properties above AED 5 million, while 28 percent are under AED 1 million. This broad distribution dramatically reduces the risk of a localized speculative bubble.

Structural Indicators and Cyclicality

The Dubai market also shows robust structural dynamics. Resale and first sale purchases and sales are balanced (30 percent first sale, 70 percent resale), confirming that this is not a market drugged by new deliveries but supported by genuine exchanges between residents and investors. The mortgage sector remains very much alive, with a 12.9 percent increase in the number of mortgage transactions-an unmistakable sign that those buying are not just doing so to speculate but to live, invest and stabilize. In such an environment, talk of a bubble has no real basis: growth is supported by population growth, government development plans and ever-expanding infrastructure.

Why Rema has the answer

In such a dynamic market it is normal to have doubts and to want to distinguish real opportunities from mere narratives. This is where the value of an experienced partner comes in. Rema Living Real Estate monitors dozens of indicators every month-from official reports from the Dubai Land Department to analyses of price trends by area and category-and helps you understand not only where to invest, but why to do it today with awareness. If you are considering Dubai and want a tailored analysis, talk to us: we can guide you with expertise and transparency.

When it comes to international real estate investment, the best approach is to look at the data lucidly and analyze trends over medium to long periods. Avoid hasty conclusions, be wary of sensationalist headlines and focus on what really moves the market: population, economy, infrastructure and quality of projects. Dubai continues to grow because the city is growing, not just the prices. Smart investment always comes from a deep understanding of these elements.